System and Method for Predicting Organizational Outcomes

A system for modeling an entity includes a prediction module configured to identify one of a plurality of entities using a set of criteria filters to construct a model for the entity with model features built from data about the entity. The prediction module computes a diffusion model coefficient based on a diffusion parameter vector, and a drift model coefficient based on a drift parameter vector. The module computes a predicted entity success probability and a success confidence interval. A portfolio selection module receives a score measuring success for the plurality of entities based on the model, orders the scores in rank order, and forms a portfolio from the top n scoring entities.